Friday, June 23, 2017

Inside Qatar Fall-out and beyond

One phone call of Emir of Qatar, Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani to Iranian President to congratulate him for his re-election as president of Iran and subsequent official publication  of Qatar  stating "Iran is a regional and Islamic Power that cannot be ignored",  which later Qatar disowned and claimed to be the handiwork of hackers, was enough for Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Nations, Egypt and Libya to sever ties with Qatar which was followed by land, sea and air blockade. It was on June 5 that the embargo started and is still going on with both the parties holding on to their stand. Showing support to Iran was only a last straw to break the camel's back . Tensions have been building for years.
Qatar is a small country with a population of less than 3 million people.  But her abundant wealth prompted Doha to pursue some misadventures in Syria to become relevant in the regional politics and expected her Imaginary "Qatar- Turkey-Europe" gas pipeline project to turn into reality through regime change in Syria. It is also the big reason for Turkey to side with Qatar in this crisis. Denouncing  Saudi Arabia 's move towards Qatar, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan last week termed the blockade as unislamic and equated it with the "Death penalty" for the people of Qatar. Like that of other anti Assad players, Qatar's objectives in Syria were severely undermined. What Qatar rightly deserved and earned from her role is Syria is the blame and shame of funding extremist forces. Ironically, blame comes from the nations and regimes who themselves are the biggest supporters and promoters of extremism. Qatar's support to Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas is being exploited by media and offered as a proof of Qatar's support to terrorism.  World seems to have forgotten that  Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas are both democratically elected entities, the idea (Democracy)  about which US is bragging all around all the time. In recent past when all of them were backing what they called rebels in Syria then there seemed to be no problem  with Qatar but when it came to Muslim Brotherhood which Egypt and even Saudi Arabia recognizes as a potential threat to their setup, suddenly Qatar becomes a bad guy. Fact of the matter is that the decision of  Gulf states to isolate Qatar  has not to do much with terrorism as it does with Qatar's relationship with Iran.
Iran and Qatar have little in common in terms of geography,  politics, and ideology. During Iran-Iraq war, Saddam Hussain enjoyed full support of Qatar, In Syria and Iraq, Qatar is part of US led coalition forces fighting Asad and even in Yemen Qatar till recently was part of Saudi-led Arab coalition fighting Houthi rebels- dubbed as Iranian allies.
It is only by the force of circumstances on one hand and the strategic and policy preferences of their leaders on the other hand that Iran and Qatar have been drawn together. Tehran and Doha share the world’s largest natural gas structure (called North Field in Qatar and South Pars in Iran) which serves as a major area of mutual interest between the two Persian Gulf states. The full utilization of hydrocarbon resources requires a high level of cooperation between Tehran and Doha for which Qatar needs to maintain cordial relations with Iran which is not acceptable to US and Saudi Arabia.
Another reason for Qatar not to fall inline with GCC in confronting Iran is the strait of Hormuz in Persian gulf which is largely controlled by Iran and in case of any eventuality, its closure  by Iran cannot be overruled. As Qatar is fully dependent on strait of Hormuz for her oil and gas exports, Doha cannot afford its closure.
Qatar being the member Nation of GCC, Saudi Arabia expects Qatar to place her individual and national interests after the bigger cause of GCC which is to counter ever increasing influence of Iran in the region, thereby safeguarding the interests of Zionist regime of Israel so that they continue to remain in good books of US . The crisis came to surface after US President Donald Trump’s visit to the region last month that was marked by signing of a record $110-billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia. US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was quoted as saying "The visit was aimed at getting Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations in the region to stand in unity with Israel and confront Iran".  Incidentally, United States after putting all the blame of  funding the extremists in Syria on Qatar, has at the same time signed with her a deal for the purchase of F-15 fighter jets with an initial cost of $12bn.
For Saudi Arabia, Qatar's crime is that she is not sufficiently opposed to  Iran and because of this Qatar does not qualify to be the part of any  of the alliance and even may be punished further. With Turkey  performing joint military drills with Qatar and  with the presence of US Airbase in Qatar, it remains to be seen whether the diplomacy prevails or God forbid world may have to witness another blood bath like the one in Yemen

No comments:

Credit Based Fee structure

  The National Credit Framework (NCrF) standardizes and organizes the academic credits earned by students in higher education institutions (...